Hoʻonui ka ʻano maʻamau i ka noi no ka pulp lāʻau, i manaʻo ʻia e ulu ma ka awelika makahiki o 2.5% i ka wā e hiki mai ana.
ʻOiai ke hoʻomau nei ka mākeke e ka maopopo ʻole o ka hoʻokele waiwai, e hoʻokau hou nā ʻano kumu i ka noi lōʻihi no ka multipurpose, i hana pono ʻia i ka pulp lāʻau.nā pahu kokoleka makana
Ma 2022, ma lalo o ka hopena maikaʻi ʻole o ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hoʻonui kālā, ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku paneʻe a me ka hakakā ma waena o Rūsia a me Ukraine, manaʻo ʻia e emi ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai honua. Loaʻa kēia i nā hopena pololei a me ka ʻole i ka mākeke pulp lāʻau honua.
"Aia paha ka haunaele no ka manawa pōkole ma ka mākeke pulp lāʻau." wahi a John Litway, hoa pili ma ka hui kūkākūkā ʻo Brian McClay & Associates (BMA).pahu kokoleka keʻokeʻo
Ma muli o ka wānana o ka lohi ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai honua, ua hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻo BMA i kāna wānana no ka ulu ʻana o ka mākeke pulp lāʻau ma 2022 a me 2023. Manaʻo ʻia ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻohana ʻana he 1.7% i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
Ua ʻae ʻo AFRY Management Consulting Director Tomi Amberla e ʻoi aku ka paʻakikī o ka nānā ʻana i ka wā pōkole ma mua o ka wā. ʻO ka hoʻonui ʻana, ka lohi ʻana i ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ke kūlana politika honua hiki ke alakaʻi i ka noi pulp lāʻau haʻahaʻa.pahu kokoleka
"Ke hoʻololi nei ka noi pulp i kēlā me kēia makahiki. Ua hoʻopilikia nui ʻia e nā hoʻomohala hoʻokele waiwai maʻamau, "i kuhikuhi ai ʻo ia.
ulu lōʻihi a kūpaʻa
Eia nō naʻe, ʻōlelo ka poʻe loea ʻaʻole i loli ka manaʻo o ka ulu ʻana i ka wā lōʻihi o ka mākeke pulp lāʻau.
"Ke manaʻo nei mākou i nā makahiki he 10 a hiki i ka 20 e hiki mai ana, e ulu ka noi no ka pulp lāʻau ma ka awelika makahiki o 2.5%." wahi a Litway.
I loko o kahi noiʻi i ka makahiki i hala no ka Federation of Finnish Forest Industries, ua manaʻo ʻo AFRY e ulu ka mākeke pulp lāʻau honua i ka nui o 1-3% i kēlā me kēia makahiki a hiki i 2035. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Amberla e paʻa mau ana kēlā kuhi.
Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Oliver Lansdell, ka luna o ka hui kūkākūkā ʻo Hawkins Wright, ʻo ke alakaʻi koʻikoʻi o ka ulu ʻana o ka mākeke pulp lāʻau ʻo ia ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻai ʻana i ka pepa pepa, ʻoi aku hoʻi i nā mākeke e kū mai ana. Hana ʻia ka hapa nui o ka pepa kiko mai ka pulp market.mea ʻai keke pahu kokoleka
"I ka wā lōʻihi, manaʻo mākou e ulu ka noi no ka pepa kiko ma ka helu o 2% a 3% i kēlā me kēia makahiki." Ua kuhi ʻo ia.
Kākoʻo ke ʻano maʻamau i ka ulu koi
Hoʻopili ʻia ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka ʻupena i nā megatrends e like me ke kūlanakauhale a me ka mana kūʻai kūʻai, e ulu mau nei, ʻoi aku ka nui o nā ʻoihana hou.
“Ke kākoʻo nei nā megatrends honua i ka ulu ʻana o ka noi no ka pulp lāʻau maʻamau, me ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka papa pahu a me nā huahana kiko. E hāʻawi kēia i kahi kumu paʻa no ka ulu ʻana o ka noi no ka wā lōʻihi. ʻOiaʻiʻo, e hoʻomau ʻia ka cyclicality mai kēlā me kēia makahiki Volatility, "wahi a Amberla.
ʻO kahi hiʻohiʻona nui o kahi ʻāpana huahana ulu ʻo ia nā huahana maʻemaʻe i hana ʻia mai ka ʻiʻo, e like me ka pepa toilet, ka pepa toilet, a me nā lima lima.pahu kokoleka a Whitman
I ka manawa like, me ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i nā kūlana ola o nā poʻe noho i nā ʻoihana e kū mai ana, ke ulu nei ka noi no ka pepa pepa i hoʻokumu ʻia i ka lāʻau pulp a me nā mea ʻē aʻe. ʻOi aku ka nui o nā mea kūʻai aku e kūʻai ana i nā meaʻai pūʻolo mai nā hale kūʻai meaʻai ma mua o ka hele ʻana i nā hale kūʻai maʻamau.
ʻO ka ʻoihana kūʻai pūnaewele e ulu wikiwiki nei e koi hou aku i nā mea hoʻopihapiha e lawe ai i nā huahana.
ʻO ka pulupulu lāʻau ma kahi o ka plastic
Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Lansdell, ʻo ka neʻe ʻana o ka ʻōmaʻomaʻo o ka honua mai nā kumu waiwai fossil e hoʻoulu nei i ka noi pulp lāʻau. Pono e hoʻololi hou ʻia nā mea ʻē aʻe a loaʻa ka wāwae kalapona haʻahaʻa. E lawe, no ka laʻana, i ka ʻoihana hoʻopili, e ʻimi nei i nā hoʻonā e hoʻololi i ka plastic i loko o ka papa ʻaina hoʻopau a me ka ʻeke meaʻai.
"Ke nānā nei ka poʻe i nā koho fiber i nā ʻōmole plastik. Pono nā fiber hou a me ka hana hou no kēia mau noi. E ʻike maoli mākou i nā mea hou aʻe e pili ana i ka lāʻau i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana, "wahi āna.pahu rana kokoleka
ʻO ke alakaʻi ʻana i kēia hoʻomohala ʻana ke kānāwai e kaupalena ana i ka hana ʻana i nā huahana mai nā kumu mōʻalihaku. No ka laʻana, ua pāpā ka European Union i kekahi mau huahana plastik hoʻohana hoʻokahi, a ua kaupalena nā ʻāina he nui i ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā ʻeke plastik.
Ua hōʻike ʻo Litvay e hoʻokani nui ʻia nā fiber textile e pili ana i ka pulp lāʻau i ka hana nui i ka mākeke textile honua i ka wā e hiki mai ana.
“E ulu mau ana ka makemake no ka lole lole i hana mau ʻia i ka wā e hoʻololi ʻia ai nā mea waiwai i hoʻokumu ʻia i ka aila me nā mea ʻoi aku ka pōʻino o ke kaiapuni. Eia kekahi, ke hoʻomau nei ka mahi ʻana i ka pulupulu ma muli o ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka nui o ka wai a hoʻohana i nā wahi kūpono no ka hana ʻana i ka meaʻai, "wahi āna.pahu waihona ʻikepili
ʻO nā lole i hana ʻia mai ka lāʻau e hana i ko lākou holomua i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana, ʻae ʻo Lansdell.
“He paionia nui ʻo Finland i ka hoʻomohala ʻana i nā ʻenehana hou. ʻOiai ke piʻi nei ka hana, ke emi mai nei nā kumukūʻai. Nui ka manawa kūpono. Makemake nā mea kūʻai, nā aupuni a me nā NGO i nā mea ʻē aʻe i ka polyester a me ka pulupulu.
Ke koi no nā huahana pulp lāʻau a pau
Loaʻa i nā huahana pulp lāʻau nā manaʻolana ulu lōʻihi, wahi a Amberla.
"E loaʻa i nā Megatrends ka hopena maikaʻi i ka noi no ka lāʻau palupalu a me ka ʻole a me ka pulp lāʻau paʻa."
Pono nā noi e like me ka ʻiʻo, nā mea hoʻopili a me ka pepa keʻena i ka lāʻau palupalu bleached a me ka pulp lāʻau paʻa. ʻO ke koi no ka pulp lāʻau unbleached e alakaʻi ʻia e ka ʻeke, pono e lawe i nā mea kūʻai pūnaewele a me ka meaʻai.
"Ke piʻi nei ka noi no ka pulp lāʻau i hoʻomaʻemaʻe ʻole ʻia ma muli o ke kaohi ʻana o Kina i ka pepa recycled. I ka hana ʻana i nā papa hoʻopili, pono e hoʻololi ʻia ka fiber hou, "wahi a Litway.pahu kau inoa lā pō
ʻO ka ʻōmaʻomaʻo honua mai nā mea makaʻu fossil
Ke hoʻonui nei ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka noi pulp lāʻau.
Manaʻo mākou i nā makahiki 10 a 20 e hiki mai ana,
E ulu ana ka noi pulp laau ma ka awelika makahiki o 2.5%.
Hoʻonui i ka nānā ʻana ma nā mākeke ʻĀsia
I ka wā e hiki mai ana, e hana nui ana ʻo Kina i ka mākeke pulp lāʻau honua. Ua piʻi aʻe ka māhele o Kina o ka mākeke pulp ma kahi o 40%.
"Ua nui loa ka ʻoihana pepa a me ka pepa pepa o Kina a e ulu mau ana i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana, akā ma ka wikiwiki. Eia nō naʻe, ʻaʻole lawa ka fiber home. " Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Lansdell.kau inoa pahu lā
Ma kahi o Kina, ke ulu nei ka noi no ka pulp laau i nā ʻoihana ʻē aʻe. No ka laʻana, ke ulu nei ʻo Indonesia, Vietnam, a me India i nā papa waena, ʻoiai ma nā pae like ʻole o ka hoʻomohala ʻana.
Manaʻo ka Indian Paper Manufacturers Association (IPMA) i ka ulu ʻana o ka pepa o India e 6-7% i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana.
"Ma nā wahi e ulu wikiwiki ana o ka honua, aia kahi lako lāʻau. ʻO ka pulp o ka mākeke ʻo ia ke ʻano waiwai nui o nā mea maka no nā wili pepa kūloko, no ka mea, ʻaʻole kūpono ke lawe ʻana i nā huahana e like me ka pepa kiko ma nā kai. wahi a Amberla.
Ua alakaʻi ʻia ka noi honua no ka pulp lāʻau e ka emi ʻana o ka nui o ka fiber recycled kiʻekiʻe ma muli o ka emi ʻana o ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka paʻi ʻana a me ka pepa kākau ma ʻEulopa a me ʻAmelika ʻAmelika, ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia.
"I ka hana ʻana i nā huahana hou, pono e hoʻololi ʻia ka pepa recycled i hiki ʻole ke loaʻa me ka fiber hou."
Hoʻonui ka fluctuations i ka mākeke pulp lāʻau
ʻAʻole i maʻalahi ka wānana ʻana i nā kumukūʻai pulp lāʻau, a ua ʻōlelo ʻo Amberla, ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai kūʻai e hōʻike ana i nā pilikia hou. ʻO ka mea nui kēia ma muli o ka lilo ʻana o Kina i mea kūʻai nui loa o ka honua i ka pulp lāʻau.
"ʻO ka mākeke pulp lāʻau Kina he speculative ma ke ʻano. Ma muli o ke kiʻekiʻe o ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻopuka ʻana o nā wili pulp lāʻau kūloko, ʻo ka ulu ʻana o ka mana o ka pulp lāʻau ponoʻī Kina e hoʻonui hou i ka volatility.
Ke emi nā kumu kūʻai no nā kumu lāʻau o ka hale a me nā ʻāpana lāʻau i lawe ʻia mai, pono e hoʻomau i ka holo ʻana o nā wili i ka piha piha. I ka hihia o nā kumu waiwai makamae, hoʻohana ʻia ka pulp ʻoihana no ka hana pepa ma Kina.pahu lā pō
ʻO nā hoʻololi i ka lako pulp lāʻau honua i hoʻonui i ka fluctuations i ka mākeke pulp lāʻau honua. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Amberla ua ʻoi aku ka paʻakikī o ka hāʻawi ʻana i kēia manawa ma mua o nā kumu he nui.
Ua hoʻopau ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19 i ka hana ʻana a me nā kaulahao hoʻolako i kekahi mau hale hana ma ʻAmelika ʻĀkau a me nā wahi ʻē aʻe. Ua hoʻopilikia pū ʻia ka hoʻouna ʻana o ka pulp i ka nui o nā awa nui a me nā hemahema o ka pahu i kekahi manawa.
Ke hoʻololi pū nei ka hoʻololi i ka mākeke pulp lāʻau. ʻO ke ʻano o ka wā maʻamau ka mea i hoʻopilikia i ka hana ʻana i nā mea kanu ma Kanada, no ka laʻana, a me ka wai kahe a me ka ʻāina i hoʻokumu ʻia e ka ua nui i ka makahiki i hala ua hoʻopau i nā loulou alanui a me nā alahao ma British Columbia.
Ka manawa hoʻouna: Mei-22-2023
